As the Ukraine war is fast
approaching the two-year mark, Russia has signed a new arms agreement with
India to fend off Pakistan and China. At the same time, Pakistan is believed to
have signed a deal with US-based companies to send weapons to Ukraine in its
war against Russia.
Russia
has signed a deal to supply India with Igla-S hand-held anti-aircraft missiles
and to permit the Igla to be produced there under license, according to a top
arms export official quoted by the Russian state news agency TASS on November
14.
Alexander Mikheyev, head of the state arms exporter
Rosoboronexport, said, “We have already signed the corresponding document, and
now, together with an Indian private company, we are organizing the production
of Igla-S MANPADS in India.”
The Igla-S is a man-portable air defense system (MANPADS) that
essentially forms the final line of defense against flying objects in a
multi-layered air defense system. It is specifically designed to attack
low-flying aircraft.
When faced with air targets such as UAVs and cruise missiles,
the Igla-S can identify them directly and retreat at any time of day despite
background clutter and decoy flares, sometimes known as jammers. It can engage
all sorts of visually detectable aircraft and helicopters.
It is a more combat-effective version of the Igla MANPADS,
especially for shooting cruise missiles and identifying targets. The missile
has a novel two-channel optical seeker fitted with a logic unit.
Enhanced
cruise missile firing and target detection capabilities make it a more
combat-effective version of the Igla MANPADS.
The lethality of the Igla-S is further enhanced by its bigger
warhead, proximity fuse based on a laser, algorithm-based optimal moment of
explosion, and exceptional precision. The warhead also features an increasing
number of fragments and explosive charges.
During the Army 2022 International Forum in Russia last year,
Dmitry Shugayev, the Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation’s
then-director, informed TASS that the two parties were working on a project to
supply and produce portable air defense systems under license.
India already has Igla-S in its inventory. After purchasing
multiple Igla-S systems from Russia through the emergency procurement route,
the Indian Army finally inducted them in April 2022. The Defense Ministry,
however, has been considering a more significant contract for Igla-S systems as
part of the Very Short-Range Air Defense (VSHORAD) deal.
Against that backdrop, the latest agreement has come right in
time before the end of this year. Mikheyev also told another Russian
publication, ”Rosoboronexport is working with Indian private and public
enterprises to organize joint production of aviation weapons and integrate them
into the existing aviation fleet in India.” The Indian companies engaged, and
the estimated production start date was not disclosed.
In the meantime, another set of reports is making rounds.
According to recent reports, India’s rival and bitter adversary across the
border, Pakistan, signed a contract with US-based companies last year to
facilitate an arms transfer to Ukraine.
These accusations contradict Pakistan’s geopolitical
calculations since the nation has been trying to avoid upsetting Russia by
walking a tightrope.
Pakistan’s Secret Uncovered?
According to a detailed report by BBC Urdu released on Tuesday,
Pakistan signed a US$364-million arms sales contract with two private US
companies last year. These arms are purportedly being sent to Ukraine for use
in its conflict with Russia.
Pakistan entered into two agreements to sell 155mm ammunition to
American firms called “Global Military” and “Northrop Grumman.” According to
the BBC Urdu report, which used information from the American Federal
Procurement Data System, these weapons were purchased from Pakistan. The
contracts were signed in August 2022 and were explicitly connected to the
acquisition of 155mm rounds.
It
further stated that Global Military was given a US$232-million contract, and
Northrop Grumman and other parties signed a US$131-million contract. “These
agreements expired last month, i.e., October 2023,” the publication noted.
EurAsian Times report in
October last year said multiple flight-tracking websites had revealed since
August 2022 that the UK’s Royal Air Force has been flying frequent sorties of
C-17 Globemaster heavy lift aircraft from Romania to the Nur Khan airbase in
Chaklala, Rawalpindi.
This was also noted by the BBC Urdu report, which alleged that a
British military cargo plane from Nur Khan Air Base made five landings in
Rawalpindi before making the supplies.
The first of these aircraft touched down in Rawalpindi on the
same day that Lt Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa, the former head of the Army, promised
to elevate relations between Pakistan and the United Kingdom to “historic
heights” in a speech at the passing-out parade at the Royal Military Academy in
Sandhurst.
The United States and its European allies have struggled to
supply 155mm shells to Ukraine for several months due to the difficulty of
ramping up production. For this reason, the US is believed to have turned to
its Asian allies. For instance, South Korea signed an
agreement to lend the shells to the United States in April. These shells were
to be diverted to Kyiv.
These allegations may present a dicey situation for Pakistan as
its Foreign Office has rejected any sales of weapons or ammunition to Ukraine,
claiming that Pakistan remained “strictly neutral” in the conflict between the
two nations and did not supply them with any such materials.
However, similar allegations have been made intermittently this
year. An investigation by the American nonprofit news organization, The
Intercept, revealed how
the United States brokered a deal by which secret Pakistani arms sales to the
US helped to facilitate a controversial bailout from the International Monetary
Fund.
The detailed report states that on May 23, one month ahead of
the IMF’s June 30 deadline for reviewing a proposed billion-dollar payment,
Assistant Secretary of State Donald Lu and Pakistan’s ambassador to the US,
Masood Khan, met at the State Department in Washington, D.C., to discuss how
Pakistan’s arms sales to Ukraine could strengthen the country’s financial
standing in the eyes of the IMF.
The Intercept said, “Lu told Khan at the May 23 meeting that the
US had cleared payment for the Pakistani munitions production and would tell
the IMF confidentially about the program.”
There
have also been instances where some Pakistani ammunition has been photographed
in Ukraine despite claims to the contrary. For instance, in March this year,
images of Ukrainian troops firing Pakistani-origin Yarmuk rockets surfaced on
social media and soon went viral.
A Twitter account named ‘Ukraine Weapons Tracker’ that follows
arms being used on the battlefield tweeted: “Yet more ammunition made by
Pakistani Ordnance Factories (POF) in the hands of the Ukrainian Army — this
time 122mm Yarmuk HE-Frag rockets for the BM-21 Grad. These rockets are
analogous to the Soviet 9M22U, with a 20.5km range, and were procured via a
third party.”
However, despite many reports appearing online, the official
Pakistani position has remained that of neutrality, with the Foreign Office
ridiculing and refuting all allegations of an arms transfer to Ukraine.


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