The Israel-Hamas
conflict is intensifying as the Israeli Defense Forces are trying to seize and
destroy terror cells in the Gaza Strip. The focus of hostilities will gradually
shift from the proxies to real actors of the game plan.
Meanwhile, the Israeli military struck over 2,500
terror targets in the Gaza Strip, the press service of the Israel Defense
Forces (IDF) said in a statement.
“Since
the beginning of ground operations <…> during the combined activities of
ground, air, and naval forces in the Gaza Strip, over 2,500 terror targets have
been struck,” the statement reads.
“IDF
troops are continuing to eliminate terrorists in close-quarter combat and
direct aircraft to strike Hamas terrorist infrastructure, weapons depots,
observation posts, and command and control centers in the Gaza Strip.
Overnight, IDF troops directed aircraft to strike a Hamas military compound
containing command and control centers, observation posts, and additional
terrorist infrastructure,” the press service said.
Earlier,
in a release dated Oct 26, the US Secretary of Defence said that US military
forces conducted self-defense strikes on two facilities in eastern Syria used
by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and affiliated groups.
The
precision self-defense strikes are in response to a series of ongoing and
primarily unsuccessful attacks against US personnel in Iraq and Syria by
Iranian militia groups.
Iran-backed
militias in Iraq fell under the banner of “Islamic Resistance,” which claimed
responsibility for attacking the military bases at al-Tanf and Malikiyah in
Syria and the air base of Ain Al Asad in Iraq. One American national died in
the attack, and 24 were injured.
US Struck In
Self-Defense
The Defence Secretary emphasized that the air strike indicates
its resolve to defend its interests without intending to engage in further
hostilities. Reproving Iran’s designs of provoking its proxies against the
US, the Defense Secretary said that the precision strikes were “separate and
distinct” from the ongoing Israel-Hamas clash. “The US will not let Iran hide
its hand and deny its role in these attacks,” the Defense Secretary asserted.
Altogether, there have been at least 13 attacks on US
interests in Iraq and Syria in recent days. The Defense Secretary’s statement
signifies two things: one is that the US counterstrikes’ were in
self-defense and not designed to escalate the regional conflict, and the other
is that the US holds Iran responsible for escalating violence by supporting and
funding its militant proxies.
Iran’s Split
Personality
Tehran is ambitious to step into shoes larger than its
size. The ever-growing closeness of the ultra-conservative Islamic theocracy of
Ayatollahs that has had no qualms of conscience in killing nearly 400-odd
Iranian girls for alleged violation of religious injunctions with Russia and
China, two staunch atheistic states, is a strange and puzzling paradox of our
times. It is a classic example of politicizing religion.
Will Iran become Islamic? This question is much
debated in the circles of dispassionate scholars of social history. They are
aware that Tehran uses varying degrees of control over the proxies it is
patronizing, like Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen, and an
assorted group of militants in Iraq and Syria.
True, in the initial days of the ongoing conflict, the
US intelligence sources did not indicate a direct role of Iran in the said
attack. But in the words of Ryan Bohl, an outstanding authority on the subject,
“That does not mean Iran has not influenced other incidents since.”
Iran’s
Pinpricks Policy
The controversy about whether Iran is or is not in
direct control of ordering the attacks by its military groups called Qods Force
has to be laid at rest after the militancy-related events in Iraq and Syria, in
which Qods was deeply involved, came to light.
The degree and content of influence of official
support of Iran to these outfits is relative to a large extent. Houthis in
Yemen are more like an independent ally of Iran. But they have an understanding
of seeking Iran’s approval before carrying out attacks like the long-range
missile that targeted Israel but was shot down by the American Navy.
Regarding Hezbollah in Lebanon, experts like Bohl, the
senior Middle East and North Africa analyst, believe that the group “is a
reliable proxy for Iran.” However, both Iran and Hezbollah are aware of their
respective positions within Lebanon’s political configuration.
Since October 7, clashes between Hezbollah and the
Israelis have become more frequent and intense on Israel’s northern border.
However, we cannot confidently say that the armed group has decided to join the
fighting. The ultimate decision of Hezbollah’s full participation in the war
must still be waited and watched.
What Hezbollah is doing is something like pinprick
attacks. In the opinion of Theodore Karasik, senior advisor at Gulf States
Analytics, regardless of direct orders for pinprick attacks by Iranian proxies,
it helps Tehran with its strategy in the Middle East and Africa by exposing the
weak points of the Western powers and Israel.
This strategy suits Iran best, which hails it like
something euphoric about almost in a revolutionary manner. Iran is gleeful at
militia activity, which forces America into a retreat. Karasik concludes that
“Iran’s strategy is patient and in sync with their proxy clients over a time
horizon.”
Iran has studiously built proxies in the Middle East
over a long period. Its thrust is on the US and its Western allies to realize
that Iran’s preferences cannot be ignored. Iran would not want conditions
created that would force the US to join the war.
Iranian stance and proxying policy are different from
Qatar, which is another critical terror-proliferating state in the Gulf region.
Ayatollah’s policy is partially comparable to the
policy of late President Zia of Pakistan towards its arch-enemy India. It is
called the policy of “bleeding India through a thousand cuts.”
Pakistan engaged the militant groups — technically
called non-state actors by Islamabad — to undertake the mission in Kashmir.
Iran finds the policy progressively adaptable in the case of Palestine or
elsewhere in the Middle East.
The White House understands the nitty-gritty of
Iranian diplomacy vis-à-vis its militant proxies and their anti-US activities.
President Biden disapproves of Israel launching a ground attack in the Gaza
Strip, and Secretary of State Blinken does not support a ceasefire, arguing
that it would give the Hamas and affiliates time to regroup and refurbish their
arsenals. It shows that Washington is assessing more than one option regarding
its futuristic policy in the Middle East.
Conclusion
Russia and China think that the creation of two
independent and sovereign states of Israel and Palestine should be a viable
solution to the nearly six-year-old dispute.
It has taken an enormous toll on life. Deepening
animosity and hatred have sucked many neighboring nations into the vortex of a
destructive situation in the Middle East.
Unfortunately, Islamic states have politicized the
dispute because they want to derive political leverage from it. The US, EU,
OIC, and a host of organizations, religious, social, and political, all claim a
stake in this problem.
Iran aspires to the leadership of anti-US and
anti-secular motions. It has not been isolated as the Western powers think. Any
solution to the ongoing crisis in the Middle East must include the containment
of Iran.
The newly proposed land and sea connectivity between
India and Europe (via Saudi Arabia and Haifa in Israel) should not be scuttled
by combined Sino-Iranian machinations. In the words of President Biden, Iran
should not be allowed to hide its hands after provoking the proxies into
militant activities in the region.
US’ soft-paddling with Iran in the ongoing
Israel-Hamas conflict is tantamount to surrender with dire consequences. Iran
has become a weapons supplier to the proxies in countries surrounding Israel.
Unless this threat is eliminated, there cannot be peace in the region.
Peace must come to the region. Nations have to live without
hatred and animosity. Both countries must survive in whatever form they decide
and cannot impose their will or diktat. Israel is a reality because the Israeli
leaders and patriarchs have invested in the raising of a State even if the
lands belonged to the Palestinians and were sold to the Jews.
The two nations may not be good friends, but they can
at least live as harmless entities. The greater onus lies with the
Palestinians, who must understand that no power on earth can evict the Jews
from Israel. The writing on the wall has to be accepted.
They must also come out of the illusion of the
so-called Islamic fraternity. Iran and Arabs, Pakistanis and Bangladeshi, North
and South Yemenis, Afghans, Shia, and Sunni, and Sunnis and Ahmadis, to name
only some, are living examples to show that religious commonality is an
illusion and not a viable cementing force among communities.
What matters is the compatibility of the philosophy of
life and human relations with equitable economic interaction. The Palestinians
must refuse to be used as the cat’s paw or proxies in the name of religion by
Islamic countries at war with the West.
They must come out of the medieval Crusades syndrome
and chart their future as a modern state with scientific and technological
perspectives. Riyadh, under the guidance of Crown Prince Salman, could be a
role model.
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